Forecasting Risk – What Every CISO and CIO Needs to Know – Charlene Deaver-Vazquez – BSW #256

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Charlene Deaver-Vazquez
President at FISMACS, LLC

President of FISMACS, LLC Charlene worked as a subject matter expert in cybersecurity for 12 years. She worked in IT for 30 years in both private and government sectors, from supporting small networks and programming to designing global network. Twelve years ago, she transitioned to compliance managing a multi-million-dollar contract, then went on to auditing installation sites, cloud and even supporting deployable platforms. For the last several years she has been performing enterprise-level risk analysis and quantification for Nuclear Regulatory Commission. In 2021 she created Probabilistic Risk Modeling for Cyber (P-RMOD4Cyber) a framework of methods, models, and guides for cyber related quantitative analysis which can be found at This course can also be found on the National Initiative for Cybersecurity Careers and Studies catalog at She also authored Ensure Your Business Success With Risk Informed Decisions: How to easily quantify risk, available on Amazon. Her latest mathematical model is groundbreaking in that it can be used to forecast cyber attack event sequence, intensity and risk. It’s call the Marked Hawkes Process with Indicators of Prevalence for Cyber (MHP-IP4Cyber).


Chief Product Officer at CyberSaint
Independent Consultant & CISO
Chief Operating Officer at Envision Technologies